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Post by RAF on Jul 21, 2023 1:09:10 GMT
San Coates, (Sky), 'hears' CON are c400 ahead in Uxbridge. That's a fairly healthy margin. Very unlikely to change |
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c-a-r-f-r-e-w
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Post by c-a-r-f-r-e-w on Jul 21, 2023 1:10:37 GMT
Rafwan "Nobody beforehand really thought Corbyn could or would achieve the result in 2017" Oh I don't know I was reasonably confident he would lose just the 60 seats and a million votes more and he would have proved me wrong. Well, that is very impressive, steve , well done. But I demand evidence!! Send me a photo of your lower jaw at 1min past 10 on election day, just after the exit poll. If it is not sitting on the floor, like everyone else’s in the country, I will be persuaded. This is Steve just after the exit poll. (Admittedly, it’s Steve Kinnock, but it might be in the ballpark) |
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Post by mandolinist on Jul 21, 2023 1:11:56 GMT
I spent today visiting my mother, an incredibly acute political commentator and supporter of the lib dems. Her take on Labour at the moment is that they lack heart and real belief in anything. "Not the tories" cannot be enough to win the next election, they have to offer something positive, a vision for the future, which offers solutions to the major problems viz climate change and inequality. She is ninety with more working synapses than the whole Conservative Party.
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Post by graham on Jul 21, 2023 1:12:16 GMT
If this is true, I have three words for Starmer . Ha! Ha! Ha!
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2023 1:19:19 GMT
San Coates, (Sky), 'hears' CON are c400 ahead in Uxbridge. That's a fairly healthy margin. Very unlikely to change I think you're right. |
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Post by RAF on Jul 21, 2023 1:22:46 GMT
If this is true, I have three words for Starmer . Ha! Ha! Ha! The only people thinking Uxbridge and South Ruislip would be an easy Lab win know nothing about the constituency. It's barely in London, right on the western border of the city. 57% voted Leave in the EU referendum. And it (or its predecessor Uxbridge) hasn't returned a Lab MP since 1966 (John Ryan). |
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Post by graham on Jul 21, 2023 1:30:52 GMT
If this is true, I have three words for Starmer . Ha! Ha! Ha! The only people thinking Uxbridge and South Ruislip would be an easy Lab win know nothing about the constituency. It's barely in London, right on the western border of the city. 57% voted Leave in the EU referendum. And it (or its predecessor Uxbridge) hasn't returned a Lab MP since 1966 (John Ryan). That is true , but it had been a Labour -leaning marginal until losing there in 1959. |
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Post by peterbell on Jul 21, 2023 1:40:55 GMT
Con win Uxbridge
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2023 1:41:04 GMT
CON hold U&SR.
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Post by peterbell on Jul 21, 2023 1:43:15 GMT
Uxbridge Con candidate says Sadiq Khan lost the election for Lab
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2023 1:44:25 GMT
New CON MP : "Sadiq Khan has lost Labour this election."
Discuss.
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Post by graham on Jul 21, 2023 1:46:11 GMT
New CON MP : "Sadiq Khan has lost Labour this election." Discuss. Some will also suggest that the Greens cost Labour the seat. |
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Post by peterbell on Jul 21, 2023 1:51:47 GMT
Somerton & Frome - LDs win by more than 11,000
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Post by RAF on Jul 21, 2023 1:52:41 GMT
New CON MP : "Sadiq Khan has lost Labour this election." Discuss. Making the election all about ULEZ is daft. Yes, in outer London boroughs the policy plays badly as public transport isn't generally that good and people rely more on their cars to travel to work. The town of Uxbridge does have good local bus links and a tube line at the end of one of the branches of the Metropolitan Line; as well as at the end of the Picadilly Line. But neither offers fast services into central London. However, this just isn't a happy hunting ground for Labour. Blair didn't even win this seat in his huge landslide win in 1997. Blaming Khan is lazy. |
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2023 1:53:07 GMT
LDEM take Somerton and Frome by c11,000 votes. Can't argue with that. |
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c-a-r-f-r-e-w
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Post by c-a-r-f-r-e-w on Jul 21, 2023 1:55:01 GMT
Uxbridge results at a glance
Here is how the main parties performed in Uxbridge:
Conservatives 13,965 votes
Labour 13,470
Green 893
Reclaim 714
Lib Dems 526
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Post by RAF on Jul 21, 2023 1:59:23 GMT
Uxbridge results at a glance Here is how the main parties performed in Uxbridge: Conservatives 13,965 votes Labour 13,470 Green 893 Reclaim 714 Lib Dems 526 So, on a crude analysis and in FPTP terms the Greens roughly took a similar number of votes from Lab as Reclaim did from the Tories. |
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2023 2:01:54 GMT
29% swing to LDEM in Somerton and Frome. Not too dusty. Hats off to James E! |
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Post by mercian on Jul 21, 2023 2:07:35 GMT
Very disappointed that Count Binface beat Howling Lord Hope by a considerable margin. However I am now in profit on my bets regardless of the other results.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2023 2:18:16 GMT
Uxbridge and South Ruislip seems like a bit of a one-off. Even the winning CON candidate seemed shocked by the result. I think the result might concentrate LAB minds.
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c-a-r-f-r-e-w
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Post by c-a-r-f-r-e-w on Jul 21, 2023 2:19:24 GMT
Somerton and Frome, full result
Full result
Sarah Dyke (LD) 21,187 (54.62%)
Faye Purbrick (C) 10,179 (26.24%)
Martin Dimery (Green) 3,944 (10.17%)
Bruce Evans (Reform) 1,303 (3.36%)
Neil Guild (Lab) 1,009 (2.60%)
Rosie Mitchell (Ind) 635 (1.64%)
Peter Richardson (UKIP) 275 (0.71%)
Lorna Corke (CPA) 256 (0.66%)
LD maj 11,008 (28.38%)
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2023 2:57:00 GMT
Well, my poster count exercise in Somerton & Frome was actually quite representative. Only a matter of time before Sky and the BBC vie for my services next time around, I think.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2023 3:01:40 GMT
Somerset and Frome, full result Full result Sarah Dyke (LD) 21,187 (54.62%) Faye Purbrick (C) 10,179 (26.24%) Martin Dimery (Green) 3,944 (10.17%) Bruce Evans (Reform) 1,303 (3.36%) Neil Guild (Lab) 1,009 (2.60%) Rosie Mitchell (Ind) 635 (1.64%) Peter Richardson (UKIP) 275 (0.71%) Lorna Corke (CPA) 256 (0.66%) LD maj 11,008 (28.38%) Not a dig at you, but the number of pundits who can't differentiate between Somerset, (quite large county) and Somerton (small town *in* Somerset), is quite staggering. |
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2023 3:08:41 GMT
LAB walk away with Selby and Ainsty. Now, that's a result. 4k ish majority by my maths.
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c-a-r-f-r-e-w
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Post by c-a-r-f-r-e-w on Jul 21, 2023 3:11:59 GMT
Somerset and Frome, full result Full result Sarah Dyke (LD) 21,187 (54.62%) Faye Purbrick (C) 10,179 (26.24%) Martin Dimery (Green) 3,944 (10.17%) Bruce Evans (Reform) 1,303 (3.36%) Neil Guild (Lab) 1,009 (2.60%) Rosie Mitchell (Ind) 635 (1.64%) Peter Richardson (UKIP) 275 (0.71%) Lorna Corke (CPA) 256 (0.66%) LD maj 11,008 (28.38%) Not a dig at you, but the number of pundits who can't differentiate between Somerset, (quite large county) and Somerton (small town *in* Somerset), is quite staggering. Might have made a typo and autocorrect did the rest? |
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2023 3:12:37 GMT
New LAB MP for Selby and Ainsty looks like he'll soon start shaving.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2023 3:14:09 GMT
Not a dig at you, but the number of pundits who can't differentiate between Somerset, (quite large county) and Somerton (small town *in* Somerset), is quite staggering. Might have made a typo and autocorrect did the rest? Bloody computers!  |
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2023 3:19:04 GMT
Any CON smugness after Uxbridge will surely pale after Selby and Ainsty. That result is a bit good for LAB.
24% swing CON to LAB per Sir John Curtice. Again, not too dusty.
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Post by expatr on Jul 21, 2023 3:24:28 GMT
New LAB MP for Selby and Ainsty looks like he'll soon start shaving. I wouldn't serve him at the bar |
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2023 3:26:15 GMT
New LAB MP for Selby and Ainsty looks like he'll soon start shaving. I wouldn't serve him at the bar  |
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