neilj
Member
Posts: 6,376
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Post by neilj on Jul 3, 2024 15:29:09 GMT
Lab 403 Con 154 LD 45 SNP 25 PC 3 Green 1 Speaker 1 N.I. 18 (don't know enough to break it down further) In the interest of transparency I've quoted my original prediction, but this is my current and final prediction Lab 433 Con 119 LD 50 SNP 25 PC 3 Green 1 Speaker 1 N.I. 18 (don't know enough to break it down further)
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Post by lululemonmustdobetter on Jul 3, 2024 18:38:34 GMT
Oh goodie, another chance for me to get it wildly wrong.
Lab 405 Con 166 LD 38 SNP 18 PC 4 GRN 2 DUP 8 SF 8 All 1 SDLP 1 Sโker 1 Ok so my final throw of the dice (I really think the MRPs are bit off, with the nature of this GE, using the base of '19, making it difficult to accurately model):
Lab 404 Con 151 LD 45 SNP 23 PC 4 GRN 2 Ref 2 DUP 8 SF 8 All 1 SDLP 1 Sโker 1
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Post by Old Southendian on Jul 3, 2024 22:12:22 GMT
Not been keeping up, but for the record (and obviously just for fun):
LAB 444 CON 111 LD 44 SNP 22 PC 4 GRN 4 REF 2 NI 18 SPK 1
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robas
New Member
Are we approaching the crossroad, or have we now passed it?
Posts: 8
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Post by robas on Jul 3, 2024 22:36:01 GMT
My view:
Lab 423 Con 106 LDM 64 SNP 24 PC 4 GRN 4 REF 5 IND 1 NI 18 SPK 1
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Post by ptarmigan on Jul 4, 2024 0:35:42 GMT
Lab 434 Con 103 LDM 62 SNP 23 PC 3 GRN 2 REF 4 NI 18 SPK 1
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Post by johntel on Jul 4, 2024 7:29:17 GMT
Spreadex betting index mid points
Labour 425 Con 113 Lib Dem 61 SNP 17 Reform 7 Plaid Cymru 3 Green 2
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 4, 2024 16:38:26 GMT
This from my post yesterday % LAB 40 / CON 29 / LIB 13 / REF 7 / GRN 4 Seats LAB 403 / CON 159 / LIB 47 / REF 0 / GRN 0 (SNP 19 / PLC 4 / NI 18) That was then... this is now:
% LAB 38.7 / CON 23.8 / LIB 12 / REF 12 / GRN 6
Seats LAB 445 / CON 101 / LIB 61 / REF 1 / GRN 2 (SNP 19 / PLC 3 / NI 18)
Seems ridiculous but guessing this election is!
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Nered
New Member
Posts: 11
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Post by Nered on Jul 4, 2024 17:57:09 GMT
Ok I'm just going to go with my calculations here (tempered by a bit of wishful thinking) and throw caution to the wind, Lab 462 Con 89 LD 61 SNP 15 PC 3 Green 1 Refuk 1 And the rest that I have no idea about 18
Sadly I will probably be wildly out ๐
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Post by ping on Jul 4, 2024 18:54:13 GMT
Lab 443 Con 106 Lib 60 SNP 16 PC 3 Grn 1 Ref 2
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Post by jib on Jul 4, 2024 20:55:33 GMT
My prediction from yesterday, daren't miss out on any prizes here:
My prediction: Labour 381 Conservative 178 SNP 33 Lib Dems 33 PC 4 Reform 1 Green 1 Spkr 1 (NI= 18)
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Post by johntel on Jul 6, 2024 19:50:12 GMT
My prediction from yesterday, daren't miss out on any prizes here: My prediction: Labour 381 Conservative 178 SNP 33 Lib Dems 33 PC 4 Reform 1 Green 1 Spkr 1 (NI= 18) close.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 6, 2024 22:59:19 GMT
My prediction from yesterday, daren't miss out on any prizes here: My prediction: Labour 381 Conservative 178 SNP 33 Lib Dems 33 PC 4 Reform 1 Green 1 Spkr 1 (NI= 18) close. Err, not very.
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neilj
Member
Posts: 6,376
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Post by neilj on Jul 7, 2024 6:40:26 GMT
I'm assuming he was being sarcastic, if not he needs to drive around Bernard Castle to test his eyesight ๐
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Post by johntel on Jul 8, 2024 20:58:33 GMT
I'm assuming he was being sarcastic, if not he needs to drive around Bernard Castle to test his eyesight ๐ Pardon?
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pjw1961
Member
Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one.
Posts: 8,572
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Post by pjw1961 on Jul 22, 2024 16:32:02 GMT
Okay, my predictions are always crap but it's fun to look back on them later. Like Crofty I don't believe in spurious accuracy, or adding up the numbers or that stuff. Not from me! But I think the Lib Denms will do a lot better than forecast, and I don't really believe any more that natural Tory voters will tick the 'right' box in the ballot booth..... So... Lab 400 + Libdem 70 Con 100 Green 4 refuk 2 Jeremy corbyn 1 George Galloway 0 That was pretty good. Lab out by 11, Lib Dems by 2, Con by 21, Green spot on, RefUk by 3, Corbyn and Galloway correct. A winner I think.
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